Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	ElPozo Murcia		Xota

	1	X	2
	1.55	5	4.2
	1.54	5.33	3.85	Watch
	1.56	4.85	4.2	Watch
	1.53	4.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	4.98 ↓ (5.33)	4.04 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ElPozo Murcia
59.1%

Draw
18.3%

Xota
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

17.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

14%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ElPozo Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Xota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ElPozo Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xota than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ElPozo Murcia - Xota Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Alex Garcia (G),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
27', Gadeia (G),
29', Ricardinho (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 2.

ElPozo Murcia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Xota has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Xota has had a series of home games.

In this match, ElPozo Murcia is a strong favorite.

We predict that ElPozo Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 55:39. (average 3.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, ElPozo Murcia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 4.1:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ElPozo Murcia
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
11.10.25	Manzanares - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	ElPozo Murcia - Inter	5:3 ✺
27.09.25	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	ElPozo Murcia - Noia	4:0 ✺
10.09.25	Alzira - ElPozo Murcia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Xota FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.10.25	Xota - Valdepeñas	2:2 ✺
07.10.25	Xota - Palma Futsal	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Xota - Noia	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	O Parrulo - Xota	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Xota - Alzira	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
24.05.25	ElPozo Murcia - Xota	3:4
11.01.25	Xota - ElPozo Murcia	1:1
24.02.24	ElPozo Murcia - Xota	5:1
14.10.23	Xota - ElPozo Murcia	5:4
24.03.23	Xota - ElPozo Murcia	0:2
20.11.22	ElPozo Murcia - Xota	7:1
04.03.22	Xota - ElPozo Murcia	5:4

ElPozo Murcia - Xota: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide