Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Santa Coloma		ElPozo Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.65	6	1.57
	6.40	6.89	1.28	Watch
	3.49	5.4	1.63	Watch
	3.33	5.66	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.52)	5.99 ↑ (5.5)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
22.3%

Draw
15.7%

ElPozo Murcia
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

16.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ElPozo Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ElPozo Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	23. Henrique (G)
24. Aldoma A.	16. Alvarez D.
2. Povill	77. Dener
12. Puigvert	31. Gadeia
3. Tolra M.	8. Ricardo
Substitutes
17. Corso S.	7. Alex Garcia
20. Dalmau N.	51. Bebe
29. Didac	19. Edu (G)
33. Harada K.	33. Ligeiro
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	11. Marcel
11. Leandrinho	9. Rafa Santos
18. Niello B.	10. Ricardinho
10. Ramos V.	17. Rivera

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', Ricardo (G),
10', Alvarez D. (G),
19', Ramos V. (G),
20', Povill (G),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
22', Rafa Santos 🟨,
26', Corso S. 🟨,
27', Gadeia (G),
39', Leandrinho 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 2.

Santa Coloma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, ElPozo Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:76. (average 2.9:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:36. (average 2.9:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

ElPozo Murcia - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
14.09.25	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	6:4 ✺
10.09.25	Santa Coloma - Manzanares	4:4 ✺
07.09.25	Ribera Navarra - Santa Coloma	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Santa Coloma	6:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Coloma - Ribera Navarra	5:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL
- ElPozo Murcia
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
12.09.25	ElPozo Murcia - Noia	4:0 ✺
10.09.25	Alzira - ElPozo Murcia	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	ElPozo Murcia - Córdoba	2:4 ✺
14.06.25	Cartagena - ElPozo Murcia	5:0 ✺
11.06.25	ElPozo Murcia - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
08.02.25	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:2
15.11.24	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	5:3
03.05.24	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	8:5
01.12.23	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	3:2
05.05.23	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:1
11.12.22	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	4:1
04.06.22	Santa Coloma - ElPozo Murcia	2:2

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