Match Info

Russian Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Fakel-GTS Surgut		MFK Tyumen

	1	X	2
	4.9	5.2	1.42
	4.14	5.3	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.92)	5.25 ↑ (5)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel-GTS Surgut
20.3%

Draw
17.5%

MFK Tyumen
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

18.2%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

19.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

MFK Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MFK Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fakel GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', Carlos Augusto (G),
7', Emelyanov N. (G),
12', Rynochnov V. (G),
19', Kazakov E. (G),
19', Ghavtadze G. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
21', Gordillo (G),
24', Mustafin D. (G),
31', Mustafin D. (G),
33', Abdulkadyrov D. (G),
36', Rynochnov V. (G),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
50', (G),

Preview

1st leg result: 5-5. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Tyumen is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2.9:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel-GTS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 2:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.11.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Novaja Generacija	4:2 ✺
13.11.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Novaja Generacija	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
07.11.25	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:5 ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
01.11.25	Sibiryak - Fakel-GTS Surgut	2:1 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Sibiryak - Fakel-GTS Surgut	6:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLW
- MFK Tyumen
Russian Super Liga Futsal
15.11.25	MFK Tyumen - Sinara Ekaterinburg	4:1 ✺
14.11.25	MFK Tyumen - Sinara Ekaterinburg	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
07.11.25	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:5 ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
01.11.25	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - MFK Tyumen	6:2 ✺
31.10.25	TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - MFK Tyumen	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup Futsal
07.11.25	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:5
Russian Super Liga Futsal
06.10.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	1:2
05.10.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	2:5
Russian Cup Futsal
25.01.25	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	7:6
24.01.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	3:4
21.10.18	MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut	4:1
20.10.18	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	2:9

Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide