The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk 49.3%
Draw 19.7%
MFK Tyumen 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
20.2%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
26%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
MFK Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TTG-Yugra Yugorsk than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TTG-Yugra Yugorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (6 - 2)
21', Shukletsov K. D. (G),
22', Chimba (G), Karpov P. (A),
23', Batyrev A. (G),
25', Gilvan Ferreira (G), Karpov P. (A),
28', Batyrev A. (Pen),
36', Ponkratov A. (G), Chimba (A),
37', Ponkratov A. (G), Chimba (A),
38', Ponkratov A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TTG-Yugra won 2.
In recent matches, TTG-Yugra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tyumen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tyumen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tyumen has had a series of away games.
TTG-Yugra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TTG-Yugra won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 72:64. (average 3.6:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, TTG-Yugra won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 3.8:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
TTG-Yugra Yugorsk - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.08%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.