Match Info

UEFA Futsal Euro - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Stožice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV App
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	RTL
France	Free, L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	France		Croatia

	1	X	2
	1.62	5	3.5
	1.6	5	3.5
	1.6	5	3.75
	1.79	4.88	3.07	Watch
	1.61	5.05	3.83
	1.6	5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)	4.99 ↑ (4.88)	3.53 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
55.8%

Draw
18.3%

Croatia
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

18.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

21.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

France - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Croatia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lokoka F. (G)	1. Piplica A. (G)
14. Guirio O.	7. Jelovcic F. (C)
10. Mohammed A.	10. Jurlina J.
11. Mouhoudine S. (C)	15. Mataja D.
20. Toure M.	5. Vukmir N.
Substitutes
2. Belhaj S.	8. Cekol K.
22. Benslama A.	23. Cizmic N. (G)
16. Durot J. (G)	3. Gudasic N.
3. Gueddoura A.	11. Hrstic J.
12. Marquet L. (G)	19. Hugo V.
15. Menendez N.	16. Kuraja M.
19. Rezzoug M.	4. Kustura D.
5. Tchaptchet A.	9. Peric L.
13. Toure M.	17. Sekulic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Menendez N. (G), Mohammed A. (A),
5', Sekulic A. 🟨,
13', Sekulic A. (G), Vukmir N. (A),
19', Jurlina J. (G), Sekulic A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 3)
21', Jelovcic F. (G),
22', Guirio O. (G), Mouhoudine S. (A),
30', Hrstic J. (G), Vukmir N. (A),
30', Mataja D. 🟨,
32', Guirio O. (G),
32', Mohammed A. 🟨,
36', Peric L. (G), Cekol K. (A),
38', Guirio O. (G), Mouhoudine S. (A),
40', 🟨,
40', Mouhoudine S. (G),
40', Mouhoudine S. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Jelovcic F. (Pen),
1, Mohammed A. (Pen),
2, Sekulic A. (Pen),
2, Guirio O. (Pen),
3, Kustura D. (Pen),
3, Tchaptchet A. (Pen),
4, Peric L. (Pen),
4, Gueddoura A. (Pen),
5, Jurlina J. (Pen),
5, Mouhoudine S. (Pen),
6, Vukmir N. (Pen),
6, Toure M. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 3.

France is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Croatia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, France is considered a favorite.

We predict that France will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, France won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:15. (average 3.3:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
04.02.26	France - Portugal	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	France - Ukraine	4:2 OT ✺
28.01.26	Georgia - France	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	France - Latvia	5:0 ✺
21.01.26	Croatia - France	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWT
- Croatia futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
04.02.26	Croatia - Spain	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Armenia - Croatia	0:3 ✺
28.01.26	Latvia - Croatia	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Croatia - Georgia	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Croatia - France	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Futsal Euro
21.01.26	Croatia - France	2:2
Futsal World Cup
10.10.23	Croatia - France	1:2
05.10.23	France - Croatia	5:2
Friendly International Futsal
13.04.23	France - Croatia	4:5
17.09.22	France - Croatia	4:0
UEFA Futsal Euro
26.09.17	Croatia - France	4:5
12.09.17	France - Croatia	1:1

France - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide