Match Info
Serie A - Round 28Date: 24 April 2026, Friday
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Genova |
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Roma |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Genova 13.1% | Draw 13.1% | Roma 73.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Genova - Roma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', Ricardinho (G),
- 4', Gonzales M. (G),
- 13', Babris M. (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 23', Cutrupi C. (G),
- 35', Biscossi M. (G),
- 37', Cutrupi C. (G),
- 38', Fortino R. (G),
- 39', Baklanov A. (G),
- 40', Ortisi A. (G),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Genova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Roma is the undeniable favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Genova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | AS Roma | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;