The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaén Paraíso Interior 14.7%
Draw 15.7%
Barcelona Alusport 69.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
14.4%
65.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
16.5%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaén Paraíso Interior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaén Paraíso Interior's form might have worsened.
Barcelona Alusport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaén Paraíso Interior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Alusport than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona Alusport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jaén Paraíso Interior - Barcelona Alusport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Espindola C. (G)
26. Miquel Feixas (G)
14. Brandi A. (C)
8. Adolfo
21. Michel
13. Catela
3. Raggiati A.
23. Gauna L.
6. Zurdo D.
5. Joao Victor
Substitutes
17. Bynho
6. Antonio
4. Esteban
21. Didac (C)
7. Fernando
19. Fits
15. Lemine A.
14. Garcia E.
13. Montoro H. (G)
16. Gonzalez S.
8. Rikelme
3. Matheus
10. Rojas E.
17. Mendonca E.
41. Rosa M.
10. Pito
5. Salla J.
11. Toure M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Matheus 🟨,
11', Gauna L. 🟨,
17', Raggiati A. 🟨,
19', Espindola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
24', Rosa M. 🟨,
27', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
28', Zurdo D. 🟨,
34', Antonio 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 1.
Recent performances by Jaén have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barcelona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
In this match, Barcelona is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 43:64. (average 2.2:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).