The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaén Paraíso Interior 42.3%
Draw 21%
Manzanares 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
20.9%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
24.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaén Paraíso Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Manzanares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaén Paraíso Interior than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaén Paraíso Interior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manzanares than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
2nd Half (5 - 2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.
Jaén has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manzanares is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 2.8:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).