Match Info

UEFA Futsal Champions League - League A

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Kairat Almaty		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	4	5.5	1.44
	5.2	5.8	1.4
	5.12	5.7	1.4	Watch
	4	5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.15)	5.5 ↑ (5.02)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat Almaty
19.9%

Draw
16.6%

Sporting Lisbon
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

18.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

20.9%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat Almaty's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat Almaty than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat Almaty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Joao Paulo (G)	16. Paco B. (G)
19. Caio Ruiz	29. Merlim A.
6. Edson Santos	4. Paco T.
17. Orazov B. (C)	7. Santos D.
12. Tursagulov D.	6. Zicky Te
Substitutes
10. Arrieta K.	11. Guilherme A.
20. Athirson Silva	44. Maior B.
8. Kairbay D.	9. Matos J. (C)
21. Otanha L.	10. Pauleta
80. Rafao	25. Pinto B.
7. Rashit Z.	92. Rafagnin H. (G)
3. Romulo	70. Rocha
16. Serikov N. (G)	14. Valerio F.
11. Zanotto J.	8. Wesley Franca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 5)
1', Zicky Te (G),
7', Paco T. (G),
10', Santos D. (G), Merlim A. (A),
11', Arrieta K. (G), Zanotto J. (A),
12', Santos D. (G), Merlim A. (A),
13', Valerio F. (G), Merlim A. (A),
16', Tursagulov D. (G), Orazov B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
25', Valerio F. (G),
25', Otanha L. 🟨,
26', Wesley Franca (G), Paco T. (A),
37', Zanotto J. 🟨,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty Futsal
UEFA Futsal Champions League
29.10.25	Kairat Almaty - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	3:2 ✺
Kazakh Championship Futsal
25.10.25	Ayat - Kairat Almaty	4:4 ✺
24.10.25	Ayat - Kairat Almaty	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Kairat Almaty - Aktobe	8:1 ✺
10.10.25	Kairat Almaty - Aktobe	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLWW
- Sporting Lisbon Futsal
UEFA Futsal Champions League
29.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Prishtina	19:1 ✺
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Quinta dos Lombos	8:0 ✺
11.10.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	4:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Ferreira do Zêzere	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Futsal Champions League
25.10.24	Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon	3:2
28.04.19	Sporting Lisbon - Kairat Almaty	2:1
04.10.18	Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon	2:1

Kairat Almaty - Sporting Lisbon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide