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Current Win Probability
Kristall 29.8%
Draw 19%
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod 51.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
18%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
21.4%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kristall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-4%)
Kristall - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', Mukhin M. (G), Obzhorin I. (A),
5', Grigoriev E. (G), Yakovlev E. (A),
7', Smirnov N. (G),
8', Sokolov P. (G), Thiaguinho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
22', Karelin R. (G), Ivanov A. (A),
24', Smirnov N. (G),
26', Okulov M. (G), Alkin A. (A),
40', Telegin A. (G), Velemyev A. (A),
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Obzhorin I. (Pen),
1, Yakovlev E. (Pen),
2, Sheshukov N. (Pen),
2, Alkin A. (Pen),
3, Vinicius (Pen),
3, Kozak Z. (Pen),
4, Velemyev A. (Pen),
4, Gerasimov M. (Pen),
5, Telegin A. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristall won 2.
Kristall is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Torpedo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torpedo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Torpedo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Kristall has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:85 (averaging 2.7:4.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kristall against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 23:48 goals (averaging 2.6:5.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Torpedo
14
5
1
2
6
53:48
19
10
Kristall St. Petersburg
14
3
1
2
8
40:63
13
Last Results with these Odds
Kristall - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.