The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leganés 15.1%
Draw 14.2%
Castell de Peñiscola 70.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.1%
13.2%
75.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Leganés have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Castell de Peñiscola have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castell de Peñiscola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Leganés is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Peñiscola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Peñiscola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Peñiscola is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.