Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 26

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Castell de Peñiscola		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	4.4	6.2	1.43
	5.46	5.57	1.36	Watch
	5.04	5.8	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↓ (5.46)	5.86 ↑ (5.57)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castell de Peñiscola
18.4%

Draw
15.6%

Cartagena
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

16.4%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

19.1%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez G. (G)	30. Gines G. (G)
7. Ferreira M.	23. Gil D.
6. Flores L.	9. Gonzalez P.
5. Plaza A.	14. Motta G.
11. Saladie C.	8. Tomaz F.
Substitutes
1. Acosta L.	6. Alonso C.
16. Araya B.	7. Castejon G.
18. Elias	16. Fernando A.
19. Munoz P.	19. Izquierdo J.
22. Perez G. (G)	5. Lucas Farias
14. Perez V.	20. Osamanmusa M.
23. Quintela D.	11. Waltinho
21. Rosental N.
20. Sancho D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Quintela D. (G),
11', Gonzalez P. (G),
12', Saladie C. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
22', Quintela D. (G),
31', Lucas Farias (G),
32', Saladie C. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 2.

Peñiscola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartagena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cartagena is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:67. (average 3.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 3.3:3.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Cartagena	5	1	1	3	9:19	4
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
19.04.26	O Parrulo - Castell de Peñiscola	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Córdoba - Castell de Peñiscola	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Palma Futsal	7:6 ✺
07.03.26	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL
- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
21.04.26	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
18.04.26	Cartagena - Palma Futsal	5:4 ✺
04.04.26	ElPozo Murcia - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cartagena - Inter	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Supercopa Futsal
03.01.26	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	4:3
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:4 OT
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.09.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:1
Spanish Cup Futsal
21.03.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena	3:2 penalties
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
12.02.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena	5:2
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
08.02.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	4:4
15.01.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena	2:4

Upcoming Matches