Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 22

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal De Angra Do Heroismo (Angra do Heroísmo)


	Lusitânia		Caxinas Poça da Barca

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.6	1.99
	2.84	5.38	1.85	Watch
	2.87	4.6	1.89
	2.75	4.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)	4.77 ↓ (4.99)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
32.9%

Draw
19.3%

Caxinas Poça da Barca
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

18.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

17.7%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Caxinas Poça da Barca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxinas Poça da Barca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lusitânia - Caxinas Poça da Barca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups


3. Alves M.	25. Campos M.
72. Gomes R.	20. Colaco T.
2. Gusmao A.	14. Cuello J.
99. Matheusinho	10. Marcelo S.
77. Mendonca Tavares T. A.	19. Marques R.
29. Murilo	1. Pedro R.
11. Nolte H.	24. Ramos M.
12. Paganini E.	33. Sacramento T. (C)
17. Rosa H.	38. Seabra J.
21. Sales P. S.	7. Simao R.
88. Silva S. (C)	30. Souza A.
16. Soares F.	27. Vitor Hugo
5. Viveiros R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', Souza A. (Pen),
5', Marcelo S. (G),
6', Matheusinho 🟨,
19', Campos M. (G),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
22', Marcelo S. (G),
26', Campos M. (G),
36', Mendonca Tavares T. A. 🟨,
36', Ramos M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Lusitânia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caxinas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
04.05.25	Eléctrico - Lusitânia	6:2 ✺
26.04.25	Lusitânia - Torreense	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon	2:8 ✺
04.04.25	Braga AAUM - Lusitânia	8:0 ✺
22.03.25	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT
- Caxinas Poça da Barca
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
29.04.25	Braga AAUM - Caxinas Poça da Barca	6:0 ✺
19.04.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Ferreira do Zêzere - Caxinas Poça da Barca	5:3 ✺
22.03.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Quinta dos Lombos	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Leões - Caxinas Poça da Barca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
11.01.25	Caxinas Poça da Barca - Lusitânia	4:3

Lusitânia - Caxinas Poça da Barca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide