Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: PalaNeolù (Mantova)


	Mantova		Catania

	1	X	2
	4	5.5	1.5
	6.2	6.2	1.3
	5.86	6.07	1.33	Watch
	6.24	6.05	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↑ (5)	5.96 ↓ (6)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
16.5%

Draw
15.5%

Catania
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

15.1%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

17.6%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mantova - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tondi F. (G)	28. Siqueira P. (G)
7. Achilli S.	14. Bocao W.
14. Ceccatto	22. Musumeci C.
11. Mascherona M.	2. Podda M.
10. Misael G.	6. Pulvirenti G.
Substitutes
16. Bottura G.	73. Centorrino G.
25. Caique	8. Lahuerta A.
88. Carvalho A.	7. Luka D.
3. Deidda L. (G)	88. Manservigi L. (G)
8. Donadoni F.	5. Silvestri M.
6. Estevam G.	18. Timm J. (G)
5. Miquelussi L.	17. Turmena L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Luka D. (G),
9', Lahuerta A. (G),
9', Turmena L. 🟨,
14', Ceccatto (G),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
23', Mascherona M. 🟨,
26', Silvestri M. 🟨,
29', Bocao W. 🟨,
35', Lahuerta A. (G),
37:24, Carvalho A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 2.

Mantova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mantova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Catania is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 2.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Catania	5	5	0	0	24:4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova Calcio a 5
Italian Serie A Futsal
06.03.26	Feldi Eboli - Mantova	6:3 ✺
27.02.26	Mantova - Città di Cosenza	3:3 ✺
20.02.26	Sandro Abate - Mantova	7:4 ✺
17.02.26	Mantova - Roma	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Genova - Mantova	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWW
- Catania Futsal
Italian Serie A Futsal
10.03.26	Catania - Feldi Eboli	2:4 ✺
06.03.26	Città di Cosenza - Catania	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Catania - Sandro Abate	6:4 ✺
20.02.26	Roma - Catania	2:4 ✺
17.02.26	Catania - Genova	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Futsal
14.11.25	Catania - Mantova	3:1
20.04.24	Mantova - Catania	2:3
29.12.23	Catania - Mantova	12:3
17.10.20	Mantova - Catania	2:0
14.02.20	Catania - Mantova	2:5
09.11.19	Mantova - Catania	2:2

Mantova - Catania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide