Match Info

Serie A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: PalaOlgiata (Rome)


	Roma		Catania

	1	X	2
	2.75	5	1.83	Watch
	2.37	4.75	1.95
	2.65	4.8	1.98
	2.82	4.64	1.94	Watch
	2.62	4.75	1.95
	2.67	4.55	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.82)	4.75 ↑ (4.64)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
34.3%

Draw
19.1%

Catania
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

19.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.9%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roma - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sarmiento N. (G)	28. Siqueira P. (G)
18. Avellino L.	14. Bocao W.
26. Cutruneo I.	22. Musumeci C.
23. Di Eugenio A.	6. Pulvirenti G.
20. Fortino R.	17. Turmena L.
Substitutes
24. Biscossi M.	8. Lahuerta A.
8. Ceccarelli T.	7. Luka D.
10. Cutrupi C.	74. Musumeci M.
3. Fionchetti E. (G)	2. Podda M.
11. Gonzales M.	20. Sacon M.
30. Pietrasanta L.	5. Silvestri M.
14. Ricardinho	18. Timm J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
4', Lahuerta A. (G),
7', Turmena L. 🟨,
9', Podda M. (G),
14', Cutruneo I. (G),
15', Sacon M. (G),
15', Fortino R. 🟨,
16', Podda M. (G),
17', Sacon M. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
21', Cutruneo I. (G),
25', Siqueira P. 🟨,
26', Gonzales M. 🟨,
26', Avellino L. 🟨,
30', Gonzales M. (G),
31', Musumeci C. (G),
35', Musumeci C. (G),
38', Pulvirenti G. 🟨,
39', Cutrupi C. (G),
39', Cutrupi C. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 1.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Catania is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 2.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Catania	5	5	0	0	24:4	15
7	AS Roma	5	2	1	2	12:16	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma Futsal
Italian Serie A Futsal
12.06.26	Roma - Feldi Eboli	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Feldi Eboli - Roma	0:3 ✺
24.04.26	Genova - Roma	3:6 ✺
21.04.26	Roma - Genzano	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Capurso - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Catania Futsal
Italian Serie A Futsal
12.06.26	Catania - Dosson	11:2 ✺
10.06.26	Dosson - Catania	2:6 ✺
02.05.26	Sporting Sala Consilina - Catania	4:4 ✺
28.04.26	Catania - Active Network	6:1 ✺
24.04.26	L84 - Catania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Cup Futsal
28.03.26	Catania - Roma	3:1
Italian Serie A Futsal
20.02.26	Roma - Catania	2:4
12.10.25	Catania - Roma	1:2
02.05.25	Catania - Roma	7:3
Italian Cup Futsal
19.03.25	Catania - Roma	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie A Futsal
10.01.25	Roma - Catania	1:6
07.01.24	Roma - Catania	3:2

Roma - Catania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide