Match Info

Serie A - Round 11

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: PalaNeolù (Mantova)


	Mantova		Dosson

	1	X	2
	2	5	2.5	Watch
	2.06	4.7	2.55
	1.99	5.38	2.51	Watch
	2.05	4.55	2.55	Watch
	1.96	5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)	4.93 ↓ (5.38)	2.52 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
45.3%

Draw
18.5%

Dosson
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

17.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

13.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dosson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dosson than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dosson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mantova - Dosson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Deidda L. (G)
8. Donadoni F.
11. Mascherona M.
4. Miquelussi L.
10. Misael G.
Substitutes
25. Caique
17. Casassa M. (G)
14. Moratelli E.
12. Rosa Ferreira I. T.
16. Taurisano A.
13. Wilde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Miquelussi L. (G),
15', Azzoni G. (G),
16', Gargantini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
28', Caique (G),
29', Taurisano A. 🟨,
31', Arlan (G),
31', Fior A. 🟨,
39', Ferreira A. (G),
39', Donin E. 🟨,

Preview

Mantova is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dosson is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.8:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova Calcio a 5
Italian Serie A Futsal
29.11.25	Fortitudo Pomezia - Mantova	5:3 ✺
21.11.25	Mantova - Napoli	4:5 ✺
14.11.25	Catania - Mantova	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Mantova - Feldi Eboli	4:7 ✺
24.10.25	Città di Cosenza - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CAME Dosson Calcio a5
Italian Serie A Futsal
28.11.25	Dosson - Feldi Eboli	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Città di Cosenza - Dosson	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Dosson - Sandro Abate	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Roma - Dosson	4:2 ✺
01.11.25	Dosson - Genova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Futsal
07.01.24	Mantova - Dosson	2:5
09.02.21	Dosson - Mantova	4:4
26.12.20	Mantova - Dosson	2:3
04.01.20	Dosson - Mantova	4:3

Mantova - Dosson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide