The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minas 39%
Draw 22.7%
Santo André Intelli 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.9%
20%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
19.6%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minas's performance.
Santo André Intelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santo André Intelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André Intelli than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santo André Intelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Minas - Santo André Intelli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
35. Alexandre Pintinho
11. Gabriel
1. Anderson
3. Gilson
25. Bryan Nicholas
15. Jose
8. Gabriel Ferro
16. Leo Catole
30. Gabriel Pereira
2. Mateus
5. Guilherme Pinheiro
6. Maua
9. Gui Reis
17. Pele
4. Henrique F.
30. Ronaldinho
12. Higo dos Santos
38. Taubate
87. Lucas Silva
10. Two
15. Pedro Carioca
9. Vini Calvanese
10. Ribeiro
14. Vinicius
11. Rodriguinho
4. Wessinho
2. Virtuoso
7. Xaropinho
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Xaropinho (G),
10', Vinicius 🟨,
11', Rodriguinho (G),
15', Vini Calvanese 🟨,
16', Bryan Nicholas 🟨,
17', Ronaldinho 🟥,
17', Gabriel Pereira 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
22', Vini Calvanese (G),
25', Gabriel 🟨,
27', Pedro Carioca 🟨,
30', Pele 🟨,
31', Bryan Nicholas (G),
36', Ribeiro 🟨,
36', Lucas Silva 🟨,
38', Gui Reis (G),
40', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minas won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Minas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Santo André Intelli might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Minas won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Minas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).
Watch
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Alexandre Pintinho 
Jose 
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