Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Noia		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	5	5.4	1.44
	5.83	5.6	1.36	Watch
	5.25	5.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↓ (5.74)	5.5 ↓ (5.58)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
17.1%

Draw
16.7%

Cartagena
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

16.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

17.4%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Noia - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peixe (G)	1. Chemi (G)
16. Biel	7. Castejon G.
31. Churrasco	3. Juninho
10. Macedo T.	20. Osamanmusa M.
20. Pazos D. (C)	8. Tomaz F.
Substitutes
7. Altamirano L.	6. Alonso C.
11. Diego Favero	22. Chispi (G)
77. Lemos R.	23. Gil D.
9. Leozin	13. Mellado M. (C)
24. Lopez I.	14. Motta G.
5. Montero D.	11. Waltinho
25. Schutt (G)
23. Thierry
8. Varsalona

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', Altamirano L. (G),
6', Castejon G. (G),
9', Gil D. (G),
18', Montero D. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
23', Mellado M. 🟨,
31', Pazos D. 🟨,
32', Osamanmusa M. 🟨,
36', Waltinho 🟨,
39', Mellado M. (G),
40', Thierry (G),
40', Montero D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0.

Noia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cartagena is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cartagena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Noia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 2:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 1.3:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
03.10.25	Xota - Noia	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Noia - Valdepeñas	3:1 ✺
12.09.25	ElPozo Murcia - Noia	4:0 ✺
09.09.25	Noia - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Manzanares - Noia	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLTL
- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
08.10.25	Inter - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cartagena - Alzira	6:3 ✺
28.09.25	Córdoba - Cartagena	1:6 ✺
13.09.25	Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola	5:1 ✺
10.09.25	Cartagena - Ribera Navarra	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.02.25	Cartagena - Noia	2:2
20.11.24	Noia - Cartagena	0:5
23.12.23	Noia - Cartagena	2:4
02.09.23	Cartagena - Noia	5:5
29.04.23	Noia - Cartagena	2:4
06.12.22	Cartagena - Noia	2:1

Noia - Cartagena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide