Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 15

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Noia		O Parrulo

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.6	2.55
	1.89	5.41	2.68	Watch
	2.1	4.45	2.44	Watch
	1.96	5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	4.87 ↓ (5.41)	2.54 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
45.3%

Draw
18.8%

O Parrulo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

17%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

15%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

O Parrulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for O Parrulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schutt (G)	25. Starna M. (G)
77. Lemos R.	11. Diogo
5. Montero D.	6. Novoa
20. Pazos D.	19. Orzaez R.
23. Thierry	5. Rumbo I.
Substitutes
7. Altamirano L.	1. Berthod D. (G)
16. Biel	4. Cols X.
31. Churrasco	12. Jhoy
11. Diego Favero	8. Jon
18. Douglas S.	10. Morgato
26. Ivan (G)	77. Penezio
13. Koeman	14. Turbi
24. Lopez I.	9. Vasallo G.
10. Macedo T.	21. Vukmir N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
1', Lemos R. (G),
6', Turbi 🟨,
7', Diogo (Pen),
11', Churrasco 🟨,
13', Thierry 🟨,
14', Jhoy (Own Goal),
16', Macedo T. 🟨,
17', Biel (G),
18', Diogo 🟨,
18', Lopez I. (G),
19', Lopez I. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 4)
25', Cols X. 🟨,
27', Diogo (Pen),
29', Diogo (Pen),
30', Thierry 🟨,
31', Jhoy 🟨,
32', Lopez I. (G),
32', Vasallo G. 🟨,
36', Pazos D. (G),
36', Diogo (G),
39', Diogo (G),
39', Diego Favero (G),

Preview

Noia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

O Parrulo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Noia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 5.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 5.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

O Parrulo - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.12.25	Alzira - Noia	5:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
10.12.25	Málaga - Noia	0:4 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.12.25	Noia - Barcelona Alusport	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Noia - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Coloma - Noia	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW
- O Parrulo FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
13.12.25	O Parrulo - Inter	4:5 ✺
07.12.25	Manzanares - O Parrulo	4:3 ✺
29.11.25	O Parrulo - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Ribera Navarra - O Parrulo	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
19.11.25	Málaga - O Parrulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
19.03.22	O Parrulo - Noia	2:5
13.11.21	Noia - O Parrulo	6:0
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
24.11.20	Noia - O Parrulo	5:1

Noia - O Parrulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide