Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Noia		Palma Futsal

	1	X	2
	3.05	5.4	1.74
	2.24	4.51	2.39	Watch
	3.12	4.95	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.24)	4.95 ↑ (4.51)	1.95 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noia
33.3%

Draw
18.9%

Palma Futsal
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

20.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

19.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noia's form might have worsened.

Palma Futsal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palma Futsal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Noia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palma Futsal than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palma Futsal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noia - Palma Futsal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schutt (G)	2. Dennis (G)
7. Altamirano L.	27. Ernesto
31. Churrasco	28. Fabinho
24. Lopez I.	44. Machado
23. Thierry	10. Rivillos M.
Substitutes
16. Biel	99. Alisson Neves
19. Blanco Cuello N.	1. Barron C. (G)
9. Chenel O.	9. Charuto
18. Douglas S.	20. Deivao
3. Guilherme Lima	8. Lin
26. Ivan (G)	12. Lucao
13. Koeman	77. Mateus Maia
5. Montero D.	7. Pena D.
6. Monteros I.	23. Piqueras

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
25', Charuto (G),
29', Lucao (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1.

Noia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palma Futsal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Noia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:43. (average 2.8:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Noia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 3.5:2.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Palma Futsal	5	5	0	0	30:13	15
8	Noia	4	2	1	1	12:11	7

Last Results with these Odds

Noia - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noia FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.04.26	Noia - Alzira	5:4 ✺
04.04.26	Barcelona Alusport - Noia	5:2 ✺
28.03.26	Valdepeñas - Noia	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Noia - Xota	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Noia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT
- AE Palma Futsal
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.04.26	Cartagena - Palma Futsal	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Palma Futsal - Jaén Paraíso Interior	8:2 ✺
31.03.26	Palma Futsal - Barcelona Alusport	1:5 ✺
27.03.26	Palma Futsal - Alzira	5:5 ✺
Spanish Cup Futsal
21.03.26	Barcelona Alusport - Palma Futsal	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
20.10.25	Palma Futsal - Noia	11:6
04.04.25	Palma Futsal - Noia	4:2
11.01.25	Noia - Palma Futsal	3:3
31.03.24	Noia - Palma Futsal	6:1
11.11.23	Palma Futsal - Noia	2:1
27.05.23	Noia - Palma Futsal	3:3
24.05.23	Palma Futsal - Noia	8:2

Noia - Palma Futsal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide