Match Info

Russian Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Norilsk		Fakel-GTS Surgut

	1	X	2
	1.32	6.7	5.78
	1.2	7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)	6.85 ↑ (6.7)	6.39 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
72.4%

Draw
13.3%

Fakel-GTS Surgut
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

13.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

12.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norilsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Norilsk - Fakel GTS Surgut Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norilsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Antoshkin A. (G),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
26', Goncharov A. (G),
27', Kudziev R. (G),
33', Kudziev R. (G),
40', Felipe A. (G),

Preview

1st leg.

Norilsky Nickel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fakel-GTS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Norilsky Nickel is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Norilsky Nickel will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Norilsky Nickel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsky Nickel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Norilsk
Russian Super Liga Futsal
24.11.25	Novaja Generacija - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Novaja Generacija - Norilsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
16.11.25	Norilsk - Sibiryak	4:2 ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.11.25	Norilsk - Sibiryak	5:3 ✺
13.11.25	Norilsk - Sibiryak	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal
25.11.25	Kristall - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:3 ✺
24.11.25	Kristall - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup Futsal
20.11.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen	6:5 OT ✺
Russian Super Liga Futsal
14.11.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Novaja Generacija	4:2 ✺
13.11.25	Fakel-GTS Surgut - Novaja Generacija	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super Liga Futsal
01.10.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	5:1
30.09.25	Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut	3:0

Norilsk - Fakel-GTS Surgut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide