Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 25

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	O Parrulo		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	2.02	4.7	2.65
	2.07	5.18	2.38	Watch
	1.97	4.6	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)	4.83 ↓ (5.18)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

O Parrulo
45.3%

Draw
19%

Castell de Peñiscola
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

17.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

25.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

O Parrulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for O Parrulo than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for O Parrulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castell de Peñiscola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Starna M. (G)	22. Perez G. (G)
11. Diogo	16. Araya B.
12. Jhoy	18. Elias
96. Malaguti	14. Perez V.
6. Novoa	21. Rosental N.
Substitutes
13. Azevedo B.	1. Acosta L.
20. Borja	7. Ferreira M.
28. Caio (G)	6. Flores L.
10. Morgato	12. Gonzalez G. (G)
19. Orzaez R.	23. Quintela D.
77. Penezio	11. Saladie C.
5. Rumbo I.	20. Sancho D.
9. Vasallo G.
21. Vukmir N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', 🟨,
11', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
23', Diogo 🟨,
24', Penezio (G),
36', 🟨,
36', Sancho D. (G),
37', Rosental N. 🟨,
40', Diogo (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, O Parrulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:52. (average 3.2:4).

Including home matches between the teams, O Parrulo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:20. (average 3.7:3.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	O Parrulo	6	2	2	2	19:25	8
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Parrulo FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
04.04.26	Inter - O Parrulo	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	O Parrulo - Manzanares	4:3 ✺
13.03.26	ElPozo Murcia - O Parrulo	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	O Parrulo - Ribera Navarra	4:4 ✺
28.02.26	O Parrulo - Valdepeñas	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTT
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
04.04.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Valdepeñas	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Córdoba - Castell de Peñiscola	3:4 ✺
14.03.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Palma Futsal	7:6 ✺
07.03.26	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	6:1 ✺
03.03.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
10.09.25	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	3:4
Spanish Segunda Division Futsal
18.02.23	O Parrulo - Castell de Peñiscola	3:7
08.10.22	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	9:2
07.05.22	O Parrulo - Castell de Peñiscola	3:2
08.03.22	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	5:2
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.05.21	Castell de Peñiscola - O Parrulo	4:2
28.11.20	O Parrulo - Castell de Peñiscola	6:4

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