Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 21

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Santa Coloma		Castell de Peñiscola

	1	X	2
	1.59	5.4	3.65
	1.52	5.85	3.84	Watch
	1.59	5.2	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	5.48 ↓ (5.85)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
58.5%

Draw
16.7%

Castell de Peñiscola
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

15.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	22. Perez G. (G)
2. Povill	18. Elias
12. Puigvert	19. Munoz P.
10. Ramos V.	14. Perez V.
3. Tolra M.	20. Sancho D.
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	1. Acosta L.
17. Corso S.	16. Araya B.
33. Harada K.	7. Ferreira M.
11. Leandrinho	6. Flores L.
28. Medina L.	5. Plaza A.
18. Niello B.	11. Saladie C.
26. Walter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Povill (G),
15', Araya B. (G),
18', Povill (G),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
27', Ramos V. (G),
28', Leandrinho (G),
34', Ramos V. (G),
36', Leandrinho (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 1.

Santa Coloma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peñiscola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santa Coloma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Coloma is a strong favorite.

We predict that Santa Coloma will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 60:82. (average 3:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 2.8:3.3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
13	Peniscola	5	1	1	3	15:20	4
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Last Results with these Odds

Castell de Peñiscola - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 23.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.02.26	Noia - Santa Coloma	3:4 ✺
22.02.26	Santa Coloma - Ribera Navarra	4:3 ✺
15.02.26	O Parrulo - Santa Coloma	2:2 ✺
09.01.26	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWL
- Castell de Peñiscola
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
03.03.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Noia	1:6 ✺
28.02.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Xota	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Jaén Paraíso Interior - Castell de Peñiscola	4:4 ✺
10.01.26	Manzanares - Castell de Peñiscola	5:3 ✺
07.01.26	Castell de Peñiscola - Alzira	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
28.11.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	7:3
15.03.25	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	4:2
30.11.24	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	4:5
14.02.24	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	4:2
23.09.23	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	7:5
17.04.21	Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma	2:2
17.11.20	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	2:2

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