Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Palma Futsal		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.4	4.7
	1.47	5.30	4.57	Watch
	1.42	5.35	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	5.35 ↑ (5.3)	4.69 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palma Futsal
63.4%

Draw
17.1%

Valdepeñas
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

17.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

16.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palma Futsal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valdepeñas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palma Futsal than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Dennis (G)	1. Puerta B. (G)
20. Deivao	10. Alex
27. Ernesto	7. Carrasco
28. Fabinho	6. Garcia A. (C)
44. Machado	61. Mateus Torres
Substitutes
99. Alisson Neves	18. Joao
1. Barron C. (C)	2. Jose Mario
9. Charuto	16. Naranjo A.
8. Lin	9. Nicolas M.
12. Lucao	25. Pato (G)
77. Mateus Maia	30. Ribeiro
7. Pena D.	15. Sinesio
23. Piqueras	19. Yanez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
1', Mateus Torres (G),
3', Charuto (G),
11', Lucao (G),
12', Fabinho (G),
17', Lucao (G),
19', Machado (G),
20', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
24', 🟨,
26', Mateus Torres (Own Goal),
35', Charuto (G),
39', 🟨,
39', Jose Mario (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palma Futsal won 3.

Palma Futsal is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Valdepeñas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palma Futsal is considered a favorite.

We predict that Palma Futsal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Palma Futsal won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:37. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Palma Futsal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:14. (average 3.6:2).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Palma Futsal	5	5	0	0	30:13	15
6	FS Valdepenas	5	2	2	1	9:9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AE Palma Futsal
UEFA Futsal Champions League
10.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Palma Futsal	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Palma Futsal - Étoile Lavalloise	7:6 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.05.26	Palma Futsal - Santa Coloma	5:0 ✺
28.04.26	Ribera Navarra - Palma Futsal	3:7 ✺
25.04.26	Palma Futsal - O Parrulo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWT
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
09.05.26	Valdepeñas - Inter	5:4 ✺
02.05.26	Córdoba - Valdepeñas	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Valdepeñas - Barcelona Alusport	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	ElPozo Murcia - Valdepeñas	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Valdepeñas - Manzanares	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
09.09.25	Valdepeñas - Palma Futsal	3:5
08.02.25	Valdepeñas - Palma Futsal	4:3
20.10.24	Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas	3:2
15.03.24	Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas	7:3
04.11.23	Valdepeñas - Palma Futsal	7:2
18.03.23	Valdepeñas - Palma Futsal	4:1
11.11.22	Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas	5:3

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