Match Info
ITALY: Serie A - Round 18Date: 14 February 2025, FridayLocation: Pala Nino Pizza (Pesaro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Pesarofano |
|
Napoli |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.75 |
5.5 |
1.5 |
|
 |
3.9 |
5.8 |
1.54 |
|
 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
1.6 |
Watch |
 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
1.5 |
|
 |
4.14 |
5.15 |
1.54 |
|
 |
3.9 |
5.8 |
1.54 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.87 ↓ (3.99) |
5.53 ↑ (5.03) |
1.54 ↓ (1.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pesarofano 23.7% | Draw 16.6% | Napoli 59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pesarofano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesarofano than the current prediction. (-1%)The ML Model estimate for Napoli aligns with the current prediction.Pesarofano - Napoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
2. Ricordi E. (G)
| 12. Bellobuono J. (G)
|
24. Barichello M.
| 24. Bolo L.
|
6. Gastaldo E.
| 2. Mazzoleni P.
|
9. Patias A.
| 6. Perugino F.
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5. Tonidandel F.
| 10. Salas A.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
21. Achilli S.
| 9. Borruto C.
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10. Badahi M.
| 30. Chianese G.
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3. Frontino F. G.
| 94. De Gennaro A. (G)
|
7. Galliani P.
| 23. de Lima W.
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88. Manservigi L. (G)
| 7. De Luca M.
|
17. Petrucci A.
| 19. Focosi Eller G.
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19. Taurisano A.
| 15. Salas V.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Salas A. (G),
- 7', Barichello M. 🟨,
- 7', De Gennaro A. 🟨,
- 8', Salas A. (G),
- 10', Mazzoleni P. 🟨,
- 18', Patias A. (G),
- 18', Bolo L. 🟨,
- 19', Patias A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 22', Salas A. (G),
- 28', Salas A. (G),
- 28', Galliani P. 🟨,
- 32', Salas A. (G),
- 34', Gastaldo E. 🟨,
- 34', Salas V. (G),
- 37', Patias A. (G),
- 39', Taurisano A. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pesaro won 1. Recent matches Pesaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Napoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). In this match Napoli is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Pesaro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 45:48 (average 3.2:3.4). Including matches at home between the teams Pesaro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:20 (average 3.3:2.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;