Match Info
ITALY: Serie A - Round 16Date: 7 February 2025, FridayLocation: Pala Nino Pizza (Pesaro)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Pesarofano |
|
Roma |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3 |
5.5 |
1.67 |
|
 |
3.1 |
5.8 |
1.71 |
|
 |
3.1 |
5.5 |
1.67 |
|
 |
3.83 |
4.7 |
1.64 |
Watch |
 |
3.1 |
5.8 |
1.71 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↑ (3.08) |
5.46 ↓ (5.65) |
1.68 ↓ (1.69) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pesarofano 28.5% | Draw 16.8% | Roma 54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pesarofano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pesarofano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Pesarofano - Roma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4 
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Lineups
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|---|
21. Achilli S.
| 14. Alciati D.
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10. Badahi M.
| 18. Avellino L.
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24. Barichello M.
| 24. Biscossi M.
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7. Galliani P.
| 15. Borolo F.
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6. Gastaldo E.
| 16. Ceccarelli T.
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88. Manservigi L.
| 13. Ducci D.
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9. Patias A.
| 2. Ercolessi M.
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17. Petrucci A.
| 20. Fortino R.
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2. Ricordi E.
| 19. Marcelinho
|
65. Saponara A.
| 28. Rodriguez C.
|
| 17. Seferi B.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', Murilo J. (G),
- 10', Fortino R. (G),
- 12', Gastaldo E. (G),
- 19', Barichello M. (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 23', Biscossi M. 🟨,
- 28', Saponara A. (G),
- 29', Ardite R. 🟨,
- 31', Galliani P. 🟨,
- 35', Marcelinho (G),
- 36', Patias A. (G),
Preview
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;