Match Info

HMNL - Round 9

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Pula		Crnica

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.5	3.05
	1.82	5.19	2.89	Watch
	1.85	4.35	3.04
	1.78	5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	4.76 ↓ (5.19)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pula
50%

Draw
19.2%

Crnica
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

17.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

14.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pula than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crnica than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pula - Crnica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pula won 4.

Pula is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crnica is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pula could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pula won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 3.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pula won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Futsal Pula
Croatian 1 HMNL
14.12.25	Futsal Dinamo - Pula	6:2 ✺
30.11.25	Pula - Novo Vrijeme Makarska	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Square Dubrovnik - Pula	4:2 ✺
16.11.25	Pula - Rijeka	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Torcida Split - Pula	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- MNK Crnica
Croatian 1 HMNL
13.12.25	Crnica - Vrgorac	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Olmissum - Crnica	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Crnica - Osijek	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Crnica - Torcida Split	3:6 ✺
07.11.25	Futsal Dinamo - Crnica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
17.01.25	Pula - Crnica	5:2
02.11.24	Crnica - Pula	3:4
29.03.24	Crnica - Pula	0:4
22.03.24	Pula - Crnica	4:0
23.02.24	Pula - Crnica	3:3
17.11.23	Crnica - Pula	3:5
10.02.23	Crnica - Pula	4:2

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