Match Info

SPAIN: Liga Nacional - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Real Betis		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	2.6	5	1.75
	2.75	4.75	1.8
	3.35	4.95	1.71	Watch
	2.85	4.9	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.63)	4.9 ↑ (4.42)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Betis
31.1%

Draw
18.3%

Valdepeñas
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

20.4%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

20%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valdepeñas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Betis than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valdepeñas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Betis - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups


20. Fernandez I.	5. Boyis
7. Garcia J.	7. Fernando
30. Garcia R.	19. Garcia E.
99. Gustavao	30. Gonzalez A.
11. Jimenez R.	8. Lolo
5. Lemine A.	29. Marcao
8. Lin	23. Nano
17. Lopez R.	10. Pacheco P.
15. Molina J.	14. Rafael Rato
12. Munoz P.	41. Rojas E.
21. Pablo	9. Solano F.
23. Piqueras M.
10. Povea C.
14. Serrano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', Lolo (G),
8', Lin (G),
10', Rojas E. (G),
20', Lin (G),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
23', Solano F. (G),
23', Piqueras M. (G),
26', Rafael Rato (G),
30', Fernando (G),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 1.

Real Betis is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Valdepeñas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valdepeñas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real Betis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Betis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis Futsal
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
19.04.24	Barcelona Alusport - Real Betis	2:4 ✺
05.04.24	Real Betis - Xota	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Córdoba - Real Betis	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Real Betis - Cartagena	3:5 ✺
09.03.24	Inter - Real Betis	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTLLL
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
20.04.24	Valdepeñas - Manzanares	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	4:3 ✺
30.03.24	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	3:3 ✺
15.03.24	Palma Futsal - Valdepeñas	7:3 ✺
09.03.24	Valdepeñas - Jaén Paraíso Interior	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
26.11.23	Valdepeñas - Real Betis	5:6
24.03.23	Real Betis - Valdepeñas	1:2
19.11.22	Valdepeñas - Real Betis	1:1
20.04.22	Real Betis - Valdepeñas	2:5
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
08.03.22	Valdepeñas - Real Betis	4:0
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.11.21	Valdepeñas - Real Betis	3:1
14.02.21	Valdepeñas - Real Betis	6:0

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