Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 17

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Santa Coloma		Valdepeñas

	1	X	2
	3.7	5	1.62
	2.95	5.51	1.74	Watch
	3.83	4.75	1.59	Watch
	3.33	5.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.95)	5.15 ↓ (5.51)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
26.5%

Draw
17.7%

Valdepeñas
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

16.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

17.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Coloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valdepeñas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	1. Puerta B. (G)
11. Leandrinho	10. Alex
2. Povill	5. Boyis
10. Ramos V.	7. Carrasco
3. Tolra M.	61. Mateus Torres
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	6. Garcia A.
17. Corso S.	18. Joao
33. Harada K.	2. Jose Mario
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	27. Lucas Cezar
30. Leguizamon M.	16. Naranjo A.
7. Manzanares Navarro P.	15. Sinesio
28. Medina L.	29. Vandeson (G)
18. Niello B.
12. Puigvert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Boyis (G),
10', Ramos V. 🟨,
14', Puigvert 🟨,
17', Leandrinho (G),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
22', Povill 🟨,
23', 🟨,
23', Povill 🟨,
23', 🟨,
25', Carrasco (G),
28', 🟨,
32', Harada K. (G),
39', Tolra M. (G),
40', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 2.

Santa Coloma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valdepeñas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Valdepeñas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 55:48. (average 3.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 33:21. (average 4.7:3).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	FS Valdepenas	5	2	2	1	9:9	8
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.01.26	ElPozo Murcia - Santa Coloma	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	4:3 ✺
14.12.25	Barcelona Alusport - Santa Coloma	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
10.12.25	Santa Coloma - Barcelona Alusport	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
01.12.25	Santa Coloma - Palma Futsal	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL
- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.01.26	Valdepeñas - Xota	5:1 ✺
27.12.25	Manzanares - Valdepeñas	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Valdepeñas - ElPozo Murcia	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
09.12.25	Valdepeñas - Alzira	4:0 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
06.12.25	Inter - Valdepeñas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
14.09.25	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	6:4
19.04.25	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	3:3
11.01.25	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	3:2
05.04.24	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	4:3
15.11.23	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	2:2
13.05.23	Valdepeñas - Santa Coloma	5:4
16.12.22	Santa Coloma - Valdepeñas	3:4

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