Match Info

Liga Placard - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Rio Ave		Quinta dos Lombos

	1	X	2
	1.65	5.4	3.35
	1.62	5.99	3.29	Watch
	1.65	5.25	3.3
	1.63	5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	5.41 ↓ (5.99)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
55.7%

Draw
16.9%

Quinta dos Lombos
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

15.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

13.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Quinta dos Lombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinta dos Lombos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Rio Ave - Quinta dos Lombos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Moreira (G)	13. Pinto T. (G)
15. Cigano	97. Bahia I.
22. Peixinho	20. Gita D.
10. Rodrigues P.	9. Lima F.
18. Serginho	12. Sobral G.
Substitutes
19. Careca	23. Costa D.
7. Cruz T.	5. Cruz F.
24. Nuno Costa (G)	17. Dias M.
8. Rodrigues G.	7. Gabi
4. Silva F.	18. Ganhao D.
13. Torres T.	73. Kaka
11. Zezinho	1. Nunes P. (G)
	6. Pereira P.
	11. Silva T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Sobral G. (G),
7', Moreira 🟨,
10', Serginho (G), Rodrigues P. (A),
13', Cruz T. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
29', Cruz T. (Pen),
35', Zezinho 🟨,
36', Moreira (G),

Preview

Rio Ave is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quinta dos Lombos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rio Ave is the team to beat.

We predict that Rio Ave will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 3.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 4.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave Futsal
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
22.11.25	Braga AAUM - Rio Ave	1:4 ✺
15.11.25	Rio Ave - Torreense	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Leões - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
02.11.25	Rio Ave - Famalicão	5:5 ✺
26.10.25	Eléctrico - Rio Ave	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 WWWTL
- CRC Quinta dos Lombos
Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
22.11.25	Quinta dos Lombos - Caxinas Poça da Barca	4:3 ✺
16.11.25	Quinta dos Lombos - Braga AAUM	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Fundão - Quinta dos Lombos	4:1 ✺
03.11.25	Quinta dos Lombos - Torreense	7:2 ✺
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Quinta dos Lombos	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1ª divisão Futsal
23.03.19	Rio Ave - Quinta dos Lombos	4:2
17.11.18	Quinta dos Lombos - Rio Ave	1:3
30.12.17	Quinta dos Lombos - Rio Ave	4:1
23.09.17	Rio Ave - Quinta dos Lombos	6:1
18.03.17	Rio Ave - Quinta dos Lombos	3:2

Rio Ave - Quinta dos Lombos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide