Match Info

LNF - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Tênis Clube São José dos Campos (Sao Jose dos Campos)


	São José		Pato

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.2	1.83	Watch
	3.34	4.05	1.82	Watch
	3.06	4.1	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.06)	4.12 ↑ (4.1)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São José
27.9%

Draw
22.2%

Pato
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

21.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

20.3%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pato than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

São José - Pato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. David (G)	1. Djony Mendes (G)
35. Gabriel Gomes	11. Duduzinho
5. Luis Fernando	8. Gleidson
7. Matheusinho	15. Maicon
27. Ronney	7. Neguinho
Substitutes
6. Bahia	28. Brayan
14. Danilo	22. Dudu Machado
55. de Melo Carvalho G.	90. Gustavinho
9. Johnathan	88. Ian
1. Lucas (G)	4. Micael
88. Nicolas	14. Renan Fogaca
22. Pedro J.	33. Renato Silva (G)
48. Rafael	5. Ze Marques

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Gleidson (G),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
21', Luis Fernando (Own Goal),
22', Luis Fernando 🟨,
27', Dudu Machado (G),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
27.07.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - São José	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	São José - Foz Cataratas	0:3 ✺
13.07.25	Umuarama - São José	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	São José - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Dracena - São José	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Pato Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
27.07.25	Pato - Atlântico	3:1 ✺
23.07.25	Joaçaba - Pato	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Pato - Magnus	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Pato - ACMF Campo Mourão	0:0 ✺
01.07.25	Foz Cataratas - Pato	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
16.07.24	Pato - São José	6:1
14.07.23	São José - Pato	1:1
06.08.22	Pato - São José	3:1

São José - Pato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide