Match Info

LNF - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Poliesportivo Monteiro Lobato (São Lourenço do Oeste)


	São Lourenço		ACMF Campo Mourão

	1	X	2
	3.65	4.6	1.7
	3.31	4.32	1.86	Watch
	3.62	4.1	1.74	Watch
	3.88	4.2	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.88)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Lourenço
25.5%

Draw
21.5%

ACMF Campo Mourão
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

21.8%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

29.8%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Lourenço has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ACMF Campo Mourão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Lourenço that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACMF Campo Mourão than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACMF Campo Mourão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Lourenço - ACMF Campo Mourão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Serjao (G)	2. Francoar Rodrigues (G)
17. Gabriel Darici	33. Caduzinho
23. Gesse	30. Juninho
4. Pirulito	6. Lucas Selbach
18. Vico	18. Tom
Substitutes
39. Carlos Eduardo (G)	8. Andrei Luthke
10. Claudinho	70. Danilo Baron
7. Ian Lucas	10. Eduardo Jaba
90. Joao Kauan	80. Gaby
26. Paulinho	3. Guilherme Lima
5. Peru	77. Jhony
14. Serginho	19. Jorginho
12. Tiago	37. Luis Kalil (G)
6. Vinicius	15. Renan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Juninho (G),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
22', Lucas Selbach 🟨,
24', Vico (G),
25', Jorginho (G),
32', Juninho (G),
36', Tiago 🟨,
36', Francoar Rodrigues 🟨,

Preview

São Lourenço is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Campo Mourão has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Campo Mourão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Campo Mourão is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Lourenço Futsal
Brazilian Liga Futsal
13.08.25	São Lourenço - Vélez Camaquã	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Foz Cataratas - São Lourenço	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	São Lourenço - Umuarama	4:1 ✺
29.07.25	Cruzeiro - São Lourenço	2:6 ✺
19.07.25	São Lourenço - Dracena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWW
- ACMF Campo Mourão
Brazilian Liga Futsal
10.08.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - Carlos Barbosa	2:2 ✺
01.08.25	Cascavel - ACMF Campo Mourão	3:3 ✺
27.07.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - São José	4:1 ✺
22.07.25	Atlântico - ACMF Campo Mourão	6:1 ✺
15.07.25	ACMF Campo Mourão - Joaçaba	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Liga Futsal
28.07.24	ACMF Campo Mourão - São Lourenço	4:2
31.07.23	São Lourenço - ACMF Campo Mourão	0:5

São Lourenço - ACMF Campo Mourão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide