Match Info
LNF - Round 15Date: 2 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Poliesportivo Monteiro Lobato (São Lourenço do Oeste)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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São Lourenço |
|
Umuarama |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
4.3 |
2.25 |
|
 |
1.54 |
4.97 |
4.56 |
 Watch |
 |
2.16 |
3.89 |
2.68 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.32) |
4.39 ↑
(4.1) |
3.16 ↑
(2.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Lourenço
47.2% | Draw
22.1% | Umuarama
30.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:São Lourenço has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Lourenço's performance.Umuarama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umuarama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Lourenço that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umuarama than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umuarama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.São Lourenço - Umuarama Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. São Lourenço will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Lourenço (votes: 2 - 100%). 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
22.  Serjao (G)
| 17. Dalton (G)
|
10. Claudinho
| 9. Capinha
|
23. Gesse
| 77. Joaozinho
|
4. Pirulito
| 5. Leo Maciel
|
18. Vico
| 97. Vini Rod
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
39. Carlos Eduardo (G)
| 8. Chicharito
|
17. Gabriel Darici
| 3. Dalvan (G)
|
7. Ian Lucas
| 6. Henrique Luft
|
26. Paulinho
| 98. Kris Maranhao
|
5. Peru
| 20. Luanzinho
|
14. Serginho
| 15. Matheus Segala
|
12. Tiago
| 21. Pedro Gabriel
|
6. Vinicius
| 29. Renan
|
19. Vinicius M.
| 13. Vitao
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Gesse (G),
- 13', Renan 🟨,
- 17', Vinicius M. (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 29', Joaozinho (G),
- 31', Chicharito 🟨,
- 34', Pirulito (G),
- 35', Vinicius (G),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Umuarama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).Including home match between the teams, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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