Match Info
LNF - Round 19Date: 2 September 2025, TuesdayLocation: Poliesportivo Monteiro Lobato (São Lourenço do Oeste)
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São Lourenço |
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Joaçaba |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Lourenço 65.6% | Draw 18.2% | Joaçaba 16.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:São Lourenço has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Lourenço's performance.Joaçaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joaçaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Lourenço than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joaçaba than the current prediction. (+5%)São Lourenço - Joaçaba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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22. Serjao (G)
| 1. Amaury K. (G)
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23. Gesse
| 14. Evandro
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7. Ian Lucas
| 6. Gabriel Rizzi
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4. Pirulito
| 17. Kiuan Brandao
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18. Vico
| 12. Leo Gil
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| Substitutes |
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39. Carlos Eduardo (G)
| 55. Alecio
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10. Claudinho
| 97. Guiga (G)
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17. Gabriel Darici
| 7. Julio Cesar
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90. Joao Kauan
| 3. Negao J.
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26. Paulinho
| 29. Samuel
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14. Serginho
| 16. Teillor Lange
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12. Tiago
| 9. Tocha
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6. Vinicius
| 4. Vini
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19. Vinicius M.
| 77. Willian
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', Vico (G),
- 12', Leo Gil 🟨,
- 12', Vico (G),
- 13', Vico (G),
- 19', Gabriel Rizzi (G),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 24', Pirulito (G),
- 28', Evandro 🟨,
- 29', Paulinho 🟨,
- 33', Kiuan Brandao (G),
- 40', Serjao (G),
Preview
In recent matches, São Lourenço has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Joaçaba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, São Lourenço is the team to beat.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).Including home match between the teams, São Lourenço won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;