The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ElPozo Murcia 60.5%
Draw 18%
Cartagena 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.8%
16.4%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
16.5%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ElPozo Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ElPozo Murcia's form might have worsened.
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ElPozo Murcia than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ElPozo Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
ElPozo Murcia - Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. ElPozo Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Edu (G)
1. Chemi (G)
31. Gadeia
7. Castejon G.
9. Rafa Santos
10. Cortes F.
10. Ricardinho
9. Gonzalez P.
8. Ricardo
8. Tomaz F.
Substitutes
16. Alvarez D.
22. Chispi (G)
51. Bebe
23. Gil D.
15. Carrion A. (G)
19. Izquierdo J.
29. Cesar
3. Juninho
77. Dener
5. Lucas Farias
33. Ligeiro
13. Mellado M.
11. Marcel
20. Osamanmusa M.
14. Palacio M.
11. Waltinho
17. Rivera A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Chemi 🟨,
10', Ricardo (G),
17', Osamanmusa M. 🟨,
18', Ricardo 🟨,
20', Mellado M. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
29', Lucas Farias 🟨,
31', Marcel 🟨,
32', Fernandez R. 🟨,
35', Ricardinho (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 2.
ElPozo Murcia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Cartagena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
ElPozo Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, ElPozo Murcia is the obvious favorite.
We predict that ElPozo Murcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ElPozo Murcia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:59. (average 2.2:3).
Including home matches between the teams, ElPozo Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.9:2.3).