Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 27

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Santa Coloma		Xota

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.6	4.6
	1.34	5.97	5.45	Watch
	1.34	5.8	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	5.79 ↓ (5.97)	5.19 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Coloma
66.6%

Draw
15.8%

Xota
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

15.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

17.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Xota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Coloma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xota than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Santa Coloma - Xota Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)	1. Llamas A. (G)
11. Leandrinho	7. Cervino I.
2. Povill	2. Geraghty A.
12. Puigvert	12. Linhares
3. Tolra M.	9. Saldise D.
Substitutes
24. Aldoma A.	21. Anjinho
27. Bonillo I.	14. Cuello J.
33. Harada K.	22. Josu M.
22. Joao Frezzato (G)	13. Korsun I.
30. Manzanares Navarro P.	23. Martinez F.
28. Medina L.	16. Ortas A.
18. Niello B.	10. Pachu
29. Paterna Castelltort M.	97. Palazon A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Povill (G),
20', Aldoma A. (G),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
22', Cervino I. 🟨,
25', Korsun I. (G),
27', Ortas A. 🟨,
33', Aldoma A. 🟨,
33', Harada K. 🟨,
37', Leandrinho 🟨,
38', Josu M. (G),
40', Puigvert (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 3.

Recent performances by Santa Coloma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xota has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santa Coloma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Coloma is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Santa Coloma will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Santa Coloma won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:46. (average 2.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Coloma won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 2.9:2.1).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2
16	Xota FS	5	0	0	5	4:29	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
25.04.26	Manzanares - Santa Coloma	4:6 ✺
21.04.26	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	7:3 ✺
18.04.26	Santa Coloma - Inter	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Córdoba - Santa Coloma	4:5 ✺
28.03.26	Santa Coloma - Barcelona Alusport	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLTWL
- Xota FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
24.04.26	Inter - Xota	7:0 ✺
18.04.26	Xota - Barcelona Alusport	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Alzira - Xota	5:2 ✺
27.03.26	Xota - ElPozo Murcia	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Noia - Xota	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	Xota - Santa Coloma	3:4
14.02.25	Xota - Santa Coloma	6:1
10.11.24	Santa Coloma - Xota	3:1
15.03.24	Santa Coloma - Xota	1:1
03.11.23	Xota - Santa Coloma	1:3
17.02.23	Xota - Santa Coloma	2:0
21.10.22	Santa Coloma - Xota	3:2

Upcoming Matches