Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 29

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Cartagena		Santa Coloma

	1	X	2
	1.23	7.2	7.2
	1.42	5.81	4.76	Watch
	1.21	7	7.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)	6.67 ↑ (5.81)	6.6 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
72.1%

Draw
13.9%

Santa Coloma
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

15.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

16.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.

Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Coloma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Coloma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena - Santa Coloma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chispi (G)	25. Ferreyra Marcos (G)
23. Gil D.	11. Leandrinho
9. Gonzalez P.	2. Povill
14. Motta G.	. Puchy
8. Tomaz F.	3. Tolra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Motta G. (G),
16', Castejon G. (G),
18', Aldoma A. (G),
19', Waltinho 🟨,
20', Leandrinho 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
24', Gil D. 🟨,
25', Castejon G. (G),
26', Bonillo I. 🟨,
29', Osamanmusa M. 🟨,
30', Mellado M. (G),
32', Puigvert 🟨,
36', (G),
38', (G),
39', (G),
40', (G),
40', 🟨,
40', (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.

In recent matches, Cartagena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Coloma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cartagena is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:50. (average 3.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:23. (average 4.6:2.6).

Standings

Apertura

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Cartagena	5	1	1	3	9:19	4
14	Ind. Santa Coloma	5	0	2	3	9:17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Futsal Cartagena
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.04.26	Cartagena - Palma Futsal	5:4 ✺
04.04.26	ElPozo Murcia - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Valdepeñas - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cartagena - Inter	4:2 ✺
Spanish Cup Futsal
19.03.26	Inter - Cartagena	8:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- Industrias Santa Coloma
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.04.26	Santa Coloma - Inter	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Córdoba - Santa Coloma	4:5 ✺
28.03.26	Santa Coloma - Barcelona Alusport	3:7 ✺
15.03.26	Alzira - Santa Coloma	4:8 ✺
07.03.26	Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
27.12.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	4:3
18.02.25	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	3:2
23.11.24	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	3:2
05.03.24	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	1:2
22.10.23	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	2:2
25.02.23	Santa Coloma - Cartagena	2:6
28.10.22	Cartagena - Santa Coloma	7:1

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