The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sibiryak 16.8%
Draw 15.8%
MFK Tyumen 67.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.6%
16.4%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
19.1%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sibiryak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
MFK Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibiryak than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sibiryak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MFK Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sibiryak - MFK Tyumen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Withama N. (G), Carlos Augusto (A),
15', Yudin D. (G),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
22', Anisimov N. (G), Dunets A. (A),
33', Bondarenko A. (G), Firsov S. (A),
35', Withama N. (G), Rynochnov V. (A),
38', Withama N. (G), Bukatkin D. (A),
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, Withama N. (Pen),
1, Dunets A. (Pen),
2, Popov I. (Pen),
2, Tuzyuk I. (Pen),
3, Bukatkin D. (Pen),
3, Sivtsov D. (Pen),
4, Rynochnov V. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibiryak won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Sibiryak may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sibiryak has faced a series of away games on the road.
Tyumen carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sibiryak has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:96 (averaging 2.9:4.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sibiryak against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with 32:52 goals (averaging 2.9:4.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Tyumen
14
8
2
0
4
61:50
28
11
Sibiryak
14
2
2
3
7
38:61
13
Last Results with these Odds
MFK Tyumen - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.02%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
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