The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TZMS Tula 16.7%
Draw 15.9%
KPRF 67.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
16.4%
64.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
18.4%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TZMS Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
KPRF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TZMS Tula than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KPRF than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KPRF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
TZMS Tula - KPRF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 5)
5', Simakov P. (G), Gainatullin B. (A),
7', Guilherme J. (G),
8', Simakov P. (G), Gainatullin B. (A),
10', Muzhdakov A. (G),
20', Krikun S. (G), Muzhdakov A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 4)
22', Zaitsev D. (G), Gainatullin B. (A),
25', Shiriyazdanov R. (Pen),
26', Gainatullin B. (G),
28', Kirill S. (G), Krutyi A. (A),
30', Mironov M. (G),
34', Muzhdakov A. (G), Zaitsev D. (A),
40', Muzhdakov A. (G), Perevalov M. (A),
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
TZMS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, KPRF has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
KPRF holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, TZMS has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 4:5.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TZMS against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:13 goals (averaging 5:6.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
CPRF
14
6
3
1
4
56:37
25
9
TZMS Tula
12
4
1
2
5
38:49
16
Last Results with these Odds
KPRF - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.9%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.