Match Info

HMNL - Round 8

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Torcida Split		Square Dubrovnik

	1	X	2
	1.65	5.6	3.25
	1.59	6.09	3.39	Watch
	1.65	5.5	3.22
	1.6	5.66	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	5.71 ↓ (6.09)	3.28 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torcida Split
56.2%

Draw
16%

Square Dubrovnik
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

15.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

13.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torcida Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Square Dubrovnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torcida Split than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torcida Split, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Square Dubrovnik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torcida won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Torcida is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Torcida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Torcida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MNK Torcida Split
Croatian 1 HMNL
28.11.25	Osijek - Torcida Split	3:1 ✺
21.11.25	Torcida Split - Rijeka	3:6 ✺
15.11.25	Crnica - Torcida Split	3:6 ✺
07.11.25	Torcida Split - Pula	6:4 ✺
24.10.25	Futsal Dinamo - Torcida Split	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWL
- MNK Square Dubrovnik
Croatian 1 HMNL
29.11.25	Rijeka - Square Dubrovnik	9:6 ✺
23.11.25	Square Dubrovnik - Pula	4:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vrgorac - Square Dubrovnik	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Osijek - Square Dubrovnik	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Square Dubrovnik - Crnica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
07.02.25	Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik	8:1
08.11.24	Square Dubrovnik - Torcida Split	2:5
28.01.24	Square Dubrovnik - Torcida Split	4:2
20.10.23	Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik	2:2
31.03.23	Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik	0:3
17.12.22	Square Dubrovnik - Torcida Split	3:1

Torcida Split - Square Dubrovnik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide