Match Info

Liga Nacional - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Valdepeñas		Ribera Navarra

	1	X	2
	1.3	7	5.6
	1.36	6.15	5.02	Watch
	1.3	6.6	5.66	Watch
	1.36	6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	6.44 ↑ (6.15)	5.26 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valdepeñas
68.5%

Draw
14.2%

Ribera Navarra
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

14.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

14.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valdepeñas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ribera Navarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valdepeñas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribera Navarra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Puerta B. (G)	15. Jimenez R. (G)
10. Alex	20. Chino
5. Boyis (C)	99. Fabinho
7. Carrasco	5. Mykytiuk M.
61. Mateus Torres	21. Otero P.
Substitutes
6. Garcia A.	2. Garcia D. (C)
99. Gustavao	6. Joao Batista
18. Joao	11. Lahuerta A.
2. Jose Mario	1. Lopez P. (G)
27. Lucas Cezar	96. Malaguti
16. Naranjo A.	10. Sepe
15. Sinesio	14. Terry
29. Vandeson (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Carrasco (G),
10', Fabinho (G),
16', Terry 🟨,
18', Boyis (G),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
34', Chino 🟨,
38', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 1.

Recent performances by Valdepeñas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ribera Navarra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valdepeñas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Valdepeñas is considered a favorite.

We predict that Valdepeñas will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Valdepeñas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 3.4:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Valdepeñas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 3.1:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Valdepeñas
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
19.11.25	Cartagena - Valdepeñas	3:4 ✺
15.11.25	Valdepeñas - Castell de Peñiscola	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Valdepeñas - Alzira	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Barcelona Alusport - Valdepeñas	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Valdepeñas - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL
- Ribera Navarra FS
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
23.11.25	Ribera Navarra - O Parrulo	3:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Futsal
19.11.25	Pinatar - Ribera Navarra	2:6 ✺
Spanish Primera Division Futsal
15.11.25	ElPozo Murcia - Ribera Navarra	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Ribera Navarra - Jaén Paraíso Interior	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Alzira - Ribera Navarra	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera Division Futsal
18.02.25	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	1:3
02.11.24	Ribera Navarra - Valdepeñas	2:4
30.03.24	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	3:3
10.11.23	Ribera Navarra - Valdepeñas	6:2
21.01.23	Ribera Navarra - Valdepeñas	6:4
23.09.22	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	6:4
05.03.22	Valdepeñas - Ribera Navarra	4:1

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