Match Info

HMNL - Round 9

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Vrgorac		Osijek

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.7	1.63
	2.64	4.79	2.00	Watch
	3.74	4.6	1.63
	3.25	5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.64)	4.77 ↓ (4.79)	1.73 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vrgorac
27.4%

Draw
19.3%

Osijek
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

19.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

18.9%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vrgorac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vrgorac's form might have worsened.

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrgorac than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vrgorac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osijek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vrgorac - Osijek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)

Preview

Recent form of Vrgorac has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Osijek is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osijek could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vrgorac won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 3.8:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vrgorac won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HMNK Vrgorac
Croatian 1 HMNL
13.12.25	Crnica - Vrgorac	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Vrgorac - Futsal Dinamo	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Vrgorac	5:2 ✺
16.11.25	Vrgorac - Square Dubrovnik	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Rijeka - Vrgorac	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL
- MNK Osijek
Croatian 1 HMNL
13.12.25	Osijek - Olmissum	3:5 ✺
28.11.25	Osijek - Torcida Split	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Crnica - Osijek	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Osijek - Futsal Dinamo	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Novo Vrijeme Makarska - Osijek	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian 1 HMNL
08.03.24	Vrgorac - Osijek	3:2
24.11.23	Osijek - Vrgorac	5:2
27.01.23	Vrgorac - Osijek	3:2
14.10.22	Osijek - Vrgorac	7:5
15.12.20	Osijek - Vrgorac	4:6

Vrgorac - Osijek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide