Match Info
Liga Nacional - Round 28Date: 1 May 2026, Friday
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 |
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Xota |
|
Ribera Navarra |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.56 |
5.6 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.53 |
5.84 |
3.84 |
 Watch |
 |
1.2 |
7.5 |
7.42 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.56) |
6.31 ↑
(5.6) |
5 ↑
(3.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Xota
66.1% | Draw
15% | Ribera Navarra
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xota's performance.Ribera Navarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ribera Navarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xota than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xota that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribera Navarra than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribera Navarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Xota - Ribera Navarra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Llamas A. (G)
| 1. Lopez P. (G)
|
7. Cervino I.
| 2. Garcia D.
|
2.  Geraghty A.
| 21. Otero P.
|
13.  Korsun I.
| 23. Perez E.
|
12.  Linhares
| 14. Terry
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
21. Anjinho
| 3.  El Ayyane A.
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14. Cuello J.
| 12. Gustavao
|
22. Iosu Z.
| 19. Hidalgo J.
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23. Martinez F.
| 15. Jimenez R. (G)
|
16. Ortas A.
| 6. Joao Batista
|
10. Pachu
| 5. Mykytiuk M.
|
97. Palazon A. (G)
| 10. Sepe
|
9. Saldise D.
| 8. Tumkiewicz N.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', Pachu (G),
- 10', Geraghty A. (G),
- 13', 🟨,
- 19', 🟨,
- 19', Linhares (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Ortas A. (G),
- 29', Cuello J. 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 39', (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xota won 3.Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games. In this match, Xota is the team to beat.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Xota won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 54:38. (average 3.2:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Xota won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:18. (average 3.3:2.6).
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 16 | Xota FS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:29 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Primera Division Futsal | | | 27.12.25 | Ribera Navarra - Xota | 2:3 | | 25.04.25 | Xota - Ribera Navarra | 1:6 | | 04.01.25 | Ribera Navarra - Xota | 3:3 | | 08.03.24 | Xota - Ribera Navarra | 5:2 | | 28.10.23 | Ribera Navarra - Xota | 2:4 | | 18.03.23 | Ribera Navarra - Xota | 1:1 | | 11.11.22 | Xota - Ribera Navarra | 4:2 |
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