Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 15

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		BM Sinfín

	1	X	2
	1.32	10	4.75	Watch
	1.3	12	4.4	Watch
	1.31	9.72	4.71
	1.22	9.5	4.75
	1.3	10.5	4.75	Watch
	1.29	11	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	10.45 ↑ (9.21)	4.68 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
71.5%

Draw
8.8%

BM Sinfín
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

10.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

9.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

BM Sinfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Sinfín than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Sinfín Predictions

Users Predictions: Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 3.

Recent matches Puente Genil is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sinfín has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 371-347.

Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 208-184.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.12.23	BM Granollers - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	22:26 ✺
01.12.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Anaitasuna	33:33 ✺
26.11.23	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:26 ✺
18.11.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Benidorm	29:39 ✺
11.11.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLLW
- BM Sinfín
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
10.12.23	BM Sinfín - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:32 ✺
03.12.23	Atlético Valladolid - BM Sinfín	29:26 ✺
25.11.23	BM Sinfín - Torrelavega	30:37 ✺
18.11.23	Barcelona - BM Sinfín	44:25 ✺
12.11.23	BM Sinfín - Bidasoa Irun	21:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.04.23	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Sinfín	39:34
05.11.22	BM Sinfín - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:29
06.02.22	BM Sinfín - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	30:27
11.09.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Sinfín	33:27
06.02.21	BM Sinfín - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:24
09.09.20	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Sinfín	27:22
04.12.19	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Sinfín	32:23

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