Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Nava		Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	1.5	9	3.6	Watch
	1.5	9.2	3.1
	1.49	9.9	3.14	Watch
	1.46	10	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	9.53 ↑ (8.9)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nava
62.4%

Draw
9.7%

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

10.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

11.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nava than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nava won 3.

Nava is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puente Genil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nava is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nava won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 301:308. (average 27.4:28).

Including home matches between the teams, Nava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 151:161. (average 25.2:26.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Nava	30:27 ✺
04.10.25	Nava - Bidasoa Irun	30:35 ✺
26.09.25	BM Granollers - Nava	37:33 ✺
19.09.25	Nava - Morrazo Cangas	34:33 ✺
14.09.25	Villa de Aranda - Nava	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
10.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	26:33 ✺
05.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	22:21 ✺
27.09.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:30 ✺
20.09.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Bidasoa Irun	30:36 ✺
12.09.25	BM Granollers - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	38:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
28.02.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	32:33
05.10.24	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:32
28.04.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	28:32
26.11.23	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:26
04.05.22	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	20:29
16.10.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	31:33
17.04.21	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:25

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