Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 14

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	BM Sinfín		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	5	10	1.3	Watch
	4.5	10	1.3
	4.29	10.5	1.33
	4.5	9.5	1.25
	4.1	10.5	1.36	Watch
	4.5	11	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.34)	10.25 ↑ (9.48)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BM Sinfín
20.5%

Draw
9%

Naturhouse La Rioja
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

9.7%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

9.8%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BM Sinfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Sinfín than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BM Sinfín - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:33

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sinfín won 4.

Sinfín has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches La Rioja is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Rioja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match La Rioja is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sinfín won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 364-411.

Including matches at home between the teams Sinfín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 173-189.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Sinfín
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.12.23	Atlético Valladolid - BM Sinfín	29:26 ✺
25.11.23	BM Sinfín - Torrelavega	30:37 ✺
18.11.23	Barcelona - BM Sinfín	44:25 ✺
12.11.23	BM Sinfín - Bidasoa Irun	21:29 ✺
07.11.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - BM Sinfín	38:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
EHF European League
05.12.23	Alkaloid - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.12.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	34:31 ✺
EHF European League
28.11.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bjerringbro SV	28:29 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.11.23	Anaitasuna - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:36 ✺
EHF European League
21.11.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - RK Vojvodina	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.02.23	BM Sinfín - Naturhouse La Rioja	34:30
06.09.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Sinfín	27:31
20.02.22	BM Sinfín - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:29
25.09.21	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Sinfín	38:30
03.02.21	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Sinfín	23:27
07.10.20	BM Sinfín - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:32
11.10.19	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Sinfín	30:24

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