Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 21

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	19:00	LaLiga+


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Nava

	1	X	2
	1.88	8	2.45
	1.85	7.6	2.34
	1.95	6.9	2.29
	1.83	7.5	2.25
	1.89	8.7	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	7.74 ↓ (8.84)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
48.7%

Draw
11.8%

Nava
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

10.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

10.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 1.

Puente Genil is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Nava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 338:325. (average 28.2:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 147:150. (average 29.4:30).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
13	Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198:232	3
14	Nava	7	1	1	5	208:251	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
07.03.26	Reale Ademar - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	29:28 ✺
27.02.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	29:27 ✺
21.02.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Caserio Ciudad Real	27:27 ✺
13.02.26	Bidasoa Irun - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:27 ✺
08.02.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Granollers	23:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLTLL
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
07.03.26	Nava - Caserio Ciudad Real	31:33 ✺
27.02.26	Bidasoa Irun - Nava	26:27 ✺
21.02.26	Nava - BM Granollers	27:35 ✺
15.02.26	Morrazo Cangas - Nava	26:28 ✺
08.02.26	Nava - Villa de Aranda	32:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.10.25	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	24:30
28.02.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	32:33
05.10.24	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:32
28.04.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	28:32
26.11.23	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:26
04.05.22	Nava - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	20:29
16.10.21	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava	31:33

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
31.10.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Villa de Aranda	✺
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
31.10.26	Nava - BM Ciudad Encantada	✺

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Nava