Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Škofja Loka		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	3.3	8	1.48
	3.32	7.66	1.48	Watch
	3.25	8.5	1.44
	3.26	9.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.16)	8.37 ↓ (10.03)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Škofja Loka
27.6%

Draw
10.8%

Slovenj Gradec
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

9.4%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Škofja Loka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Slovenj Gradec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Škofja Loka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Škofja Loka - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Škofja Loka won 0.

Škofja Loka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Slovenj Gradec is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Slovenj Gradec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Škofja Loka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 363:401. (average 25.9:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Škofja Loka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 191:210. (average 27.3:30).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Loka	6	3	1	2	182:180	7
7	Slovenj Gradec	6	2	2	2	174:168	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Škofja Loka
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.03.26	Škofja Loka - Slovan Ljubljana	29:30 ✺
13.03.26	Gorenje Velenje - Škofja Loka	27:28 ✺
07.03.26	Škofja Loka - Škofljica	26:28 ✺
28.02.26	Trimo Trebnje - Škofja Loka	31:34 ✺
21.02.26	Škofja Loka - Slovan Ljubljana	32:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LWLWL
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
28.03.26	Slovenj Gradec - Gorenje Velenje	26:21 ✺
15.03.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Slovenj Gradec	37:28 ✺
08.03.26	Slovenj Gradec - Trimo Trebnje	25:26 ✺
26.02.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Slovenj Gradec	33:28 ✺
21.02.26	Radovljica - Slovenj Gradec	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
14.02.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	31:26
19.10.25	Škofja Loka - Slovenj Gradec	29:34
21.12.24	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	24:23
05.10.24	Škofja Loka - Slovenj Gradec	25:25
25.05.24	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	33:25
16.12.23	Škofja Loka - Slovenj Gradec	29:32
15.04.23	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	27:26

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