Match Info

A1 - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	AEK Athens		Athinaikos

	1	X	2
	1.02	29.00	26.00
	1.01	31.00	26.00
	1.01	19	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	26.33 ↑ (19)	23 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
92.4%

Draw
3.6%

Athinaikos
4.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89.9%

4.8%

5.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Athinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

AEK Athens - Athinaikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:27

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Preview

AEK may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, AEK has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:60 (averaging 36.5:30 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AEK against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 36:31 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	AEK Athens	6	5	0	1	193:160	10
11	Athinaikos	7	1	0	6	195:244	2

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.01 are the expected chance of winning is 89.88%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
01.10.26	Diomidis Argous - AEK Athens	20:23 ✺
28.09.26	AEK Athens - PAOK	28:24 ✺
23.09.26	Drama - AEK Athens	27:34 ✺
Greek Super Cup Handball
14.09.26	Olympiacos - AEK Athens	35:24 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
29.05.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos	27:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL
- Athinaikos HC
Greek A1 Handball
30.09.26	Athinaikos - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	20:26 ✺
26.09.26	Kilkis - Athinaikos	32:28 ✺
19.09.26	Athinaikos - Olympiacos	23:36
28.03.26	Athinaikos - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	24:27 ✺
11.03.26	Doukas - Athinaikos	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Handball
02.02.26	AEK Athens - Athinaikos	36:31
04.10.25	Athinaikos - AEK Athens	29:37

AEK Athens - Athinaikos