Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Round 3

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gigantium (Aalborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4


	Aalborg		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	8.5	1.72	Watch
	2.15	8.25	2.05
	2.55	8	1.77	Watch
	2.36	8.08	1.91	Watch
	2.2	7.5	1.95
	2.3	8.2	1.92	Watch
	2.55	8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.24)	8.08 ↑ (8)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg
38.6%

Draw
11.5%

Magdeburg
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

11.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

11.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aalborg - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Lineups


22. Antonsen R.	54. Bergendahl O.
6. Barthold S.	34. Damgaard M.
19. Bjornsen K.	1. Hernandez S.
11. Hald Jensen S.	10. Kristjansson G.
32. Hellberg A.	21. Lagergren A.
14. Hoxer M.	14. Magnusson O.
17. Larsen M.	22. Mertens L.
20. Moller F.	6. Musche M.
25. Munk M.	24. O'Sullivan C.
3. Nilsson L.	3. Persson I.
12. Norsten F.	11. Pettersson D.
9. Soares M.	80. Portner N.
15. Thurin J.	23. Saugstrup M.
2. Vestergaard M.	15. Serradilla A.
18. Vlah A.	9. Zechel T.
4. Wiesmach-Larsen P.	8. Zehnder M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 2.

Aalborg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Magdeburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magdeburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 158-166.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 55-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
21.09.24	Fredericia - Aalborg	26:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.09.24	PPD Zagreb - Aalborg	31:23 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
14.09.24	Ringsted - Aalborg	29:41 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.09.24	Aalborg - HBC Nantes	38:31 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
07.09.24	Aalborg - Ribe-Esbjerg	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- SC Magdeburg
German Bundesliga Handball
22.09.24	Magdeburg - THW Kiel	24:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.09.24	Magdeburg - Kolstad	33:25 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
15.09.24	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	26:32 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.09.24	Szeged - Magdeburg	31:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
07.09.24	Magdeburg - HSG Wetzlar	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
08.06.24	Magdeburg - Aalborg	26:28
Club Friendly Hanbdall
13.08.23	Magdeburg - Aalborg	26:26
14.08.22	Aalborg - Magdeburg	29:32
Club World Championship Handball
07.10.21	Magdeburg - Aalborg	32:30
EHF European League
19.03.16	Aalborg - Magdeburg	26:25
14.02.16	Magdeburg - Aalborg	25:19

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